Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#146
Pace69.6#151
Improvement-0.9#226

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#166
First Shot+1.8#129
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#278
Layup/Dunks+1.2#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#247
Freethrows+0.7#124
Improvement+0.6#153

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#205
Layups/Dunks+0.0#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#210
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-1.5#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 1.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 6.01.0 - 10.0
Quad 35.0 - 3.06.0 - 13.0
Quad 412.0 - 2.018.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 128   Penn L 71-72 52%     0 - 1 -0.8 -3.0 +2.2
  Nov 09, 2018 204   American L 75-78 OT 72%     0 - 2 -8.4 -6.0 -2.2
  Nov 13, 2018 111   @ Georgia Southern L 89-98 27%     0 - 3 -2.0 +5.6 -6.2
  Nov 17, 2018 336   Southern W 69-65 93%     1 - 3 -12.4 -8.1 -4.1
  Nov 20, 2018 309   NC Central W 78-63 87%     2 - 3 +3.1 +3.4 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2018 32   Cincinnati L 55-71 15%     2 - 4 -4.1 -7.5 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2018 40   Baylor L 61-72 16%     2 - 5 +0.0 -8.3 +8.4
  Nov 28, 2018 338   Morgan St. W 82-75 94%     3 - 5 -9.7 -1.6 -8.5
  Dec 01, 2018 209   @ William & Mary W 87-84 52%     4 - 5 +3.1 +14.9 -11.8
  Dec 03, 2018 94   Vermont L 67-72 42%     4 - 6 -2.5 -3.8 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2018 267   James Madison W 66-53 82%     5 - 6 +4.0 -11.7 +15.9
  Dec 21, 2018 281   Navy W 84-63 83%     6 - 6 +11.3 +6.2 +4.8
  Dec 29, 2018 21   @ Kansas St. L 58-59 7%     6 - 7 +16.3 +6.7 +9.5
  Jan 03, 2019 174   @ Saint Joseph's W 85-60 44%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +27.0 +13.8 +13.7
  Jan 06, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure W 68-53 49%     8 - 7 2 - 0 +15.8 +7.6 +10.2
  Jan 09, 2019 86   Davidson L 56-61 40%     8 - 8 2 - 1 -1.9 -14.3 +12.4
  Jan 13, 2019 133   @ Rhode Island W 84-67 33%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +22.2 +14.5 +7.6
  Jan 16, 2019 225   @ Massachusetts W 68-63 55%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +4.2 -3.3 +7.7
  Jan 19, 2019 244   Fordham W 71-68 79%     11 - 8 5 - 1 -4.8 -3.3 -1.5
  Jan 23, 2019 63   @ Dayton W 67-63 17%     12 - 8 6 - 1 +14.5 +5.1 +9.9
  Jan 26, 2019 270   George Washington W 62-55 82%     13 - 8 7 - 1 -2.1 -13.9 +11.6
  Feb 02, 2019 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-79 12%     13 - 9 7 - 2 -2.6 -1.2 -0.6
  Feb 06, 2019 184   @ Richmond L 67-81 47%     13 - 10 7 - 3 -12.7 -7.6 -5.2
  Feb 10, 2019 216   La Salle W 84-76 73%     14 - 10 8 - 3 +2.2 +7.5 -5.5
  Feb 13, 2019 225   Massachusetts W 80-75 OT 75%     15 - 10 9 - 3 -1.4 +1.4 -2.9
  Feb 17, 2019 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-79 29%     15 - 11 9 - 4 -16.6 -4.0 -15.3
  Feb 23, 2019 160   Duquesne L 78-79 63%     15 - 12 9 - 5 -3.9 +9.4 -13.4
  Feb 27, 2019 184   Richmond W 77-63 68%     16 - 12 10 - 5 +9.8 +1.0 +9.1
  Mar 02, 2019 102   @ Saint Louis L 71-81 25%     16 - 13 10 - 6 -2.5 +2.9 -5.1
  Mar 05, 2019 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 36-71 24%     16 - 14 10 - 7 -27.1 -26.5 -2.1
  Mar 09, 2019 270   @ George Washington W 81-65 66%     17 - 14 11 - 7 +12.4 +16.1 -2.3
  Mar 14, 2019 270   George Washington W 61-57 75%     18 - 14 -2.3 -4.1 +2.3
  Mar 15, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure L 57-68 38%     18 - 15 -7.4 -1.2 -8.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%